Finds the trend for each season and each variable in a time series.

seasonTrend(x, plot = FALSE, type = c("slope", "relative"), pval = 0.05, ...)

Arguments

x

Time series vector, or time series matrix with column names

plot

Should the results be plotted?

type

Type of trend to be plotted, actual or relative to series median

pval

p-value for significance

...

Further options to pass to plotting function

Value

A data frame with the following fields:

series

series names

season

season number

sen.slope

Sen slope in original units per year

sen.slope.rel

Sen slope divided by median for that specific season and series

p

p-value for the trend according to the Mann-Kendall test.

missing

Proportion of slopes joining first and last fifths of the data that are missing

Details

The Mann-Kendall test is applied for each season and series (in the case of a matrix). The actual and relative Sen slope (actual divided by median for that specific season and series); the p-value for the trend; and the fraction of missing slopes involving the first and last fifths of the data are calculated (see mannKen).

If plot = TRUE, each season for each series is represented by a bar showing the trend. The fill colour indicates whether \(p < 0.05\) or not. If the fraction of missing slopes is 0.5 or more, the corresponding trends are omitted.

Parameters can be passed to the plotting function, in particular, to facet_wrap in ggplot2. The most useful parameters here are ncol (or nrow), which determines the number of columns (or rows) of plots, and scales, which can be set to "free_y" to allow the y-axis to change for each time series. Like all ggplot2 objects, the plot output can also be customized extensively by modifying and adding layers.

Author

Alan Jassby, James Cloern

Examples


x <- sfbayChla
seasonTrend(x)
#>     series season  sen.slope sen.slope.rel      p.value  miss
#> 1      s21      1 0.02582456   0.018476222 2.063109e-02 0.429
#> 2      s21      2 0.09055556   0.055622661 2.357831e-04 0.143
#> 3      s21      3 0.22425926   0.064271244 4.200806e-04 0.286
#> 4      s21      4 0.19305556   0.040038049 1.381407e-02 0.286
#> 5      s21      5 0.12873016   0.040815179 2.091911e-03 0.388
#> 6      s21      6 0.04429694   0.015143926 2.205212e-01 0.388
#> 7      s21      7 0.08115942   0.038816429 3.016211e-03 0.388
#> 8      s21      8 0.13115385   0.060824742 1.528304e-03 0.429
#> 9      s21      9 0.11846154   0.049549550 9.833619e-04 0.265
#> 10     s21     10 0.09744268   0.051095353 7.681235e-04 0.388
#> 11     s21     11 0.11195652   0.061538462 5.382187e-04 0.510
#> 12     s21     12 0.09467787   0.072380952 3.640470e-04 0.633
#> 13     s22      1 0.01877778   0.013027903 2.742615e-01 0.429
#> 14     s22      2 0.07281145   0.045542417 3.204204e-03 0.143
#> 15     s22      3 0.16533333   0.062686567 1.792358e-04 0.286
#> 16     s22      4 0.16833333   0.038329288 1.381407e-02 0.286
#> 17     s22      5 0.13421053   0.046189376 8.621461e-03 0.388
#> 18     s22      6 0.02816667   0.008680242 4.410008e-01 0.388
#> 19     s22      7 0.05916667   0.028563453 1.833157e-02 0.388
#> 20     s22      8 0.12100000   0.061118848 2.281250e-03 0.429
#> 21     s22      9 0.11171569   0.057075980 1.372855e-04 0.265
#> 22     s22     10 0.08262014   0.033116468 1.309395e-02 0.388
#> 23     s22     11 0.09712418   0.055902778 6.169274e-04 0.510
#> 24     s22     12 0.08714286   0.061860670 5.664976e-04 0.633
#> 25     s23      1 0.02490000   0.015808775 1.498717e-01 0.286
#> 26     s23      2 0.07477778   0.047722567 1.014759e-02 0.000
#> 27     s23      3 0.22634921   0.073819163 1.101182e-03 0.143
#> 28     s23      4 0.18045455   0.039831639 1.078891e-02 0.143
#> 29     s23      5 0.13411765   0.048451548 4.558221e-04 0.265
#> 30     s23      6 0.06923684   0.025048465 3.092915e-02 0.265
#> 31     s23      7 0.07990385   0.045241313 5.153545e-04 0.265
#> 32     s23      8 0.13000000   0.065897436 8.584157e-04 0.429
#> 33     s23      9 0.10689655   0.048969072 8.034765e-03 0.265
#> 34     s23     10 0.10946316   0.053039927 8.498215e-05 0.265
#> 35     s23     11 0.08671053   0.050238095 2.245618e-03 0.388
#> 36     s23     12 0.09000000   0.067661692 5.974040e-04 0.510
#> 37     s24      1 0.03722222   0.026737968 2.439877e-02 0.286
#> 38     s24      2 0.07224638   0.048728632 7.859583e-04 0.000
#> 39     s24      3 0.20340476   0.062720612 2.635687e-04 0.000
#> 40     s24      4 0.25310317   0.044190334 1.089705e-02 0.000
#> 41     s24      5 0.14689655   0.050260787 1.320966e-03 0.265
#> 42     s24      6 0.06000000   0.026364960 1.720610e-02 0.265
#> 43     s24      7 0.07375000   0.051000000 6.877945e-04 0.265
#> 44     s24      8 0.10450725   0.058492063 1.264730e-03 0.429
#> 45     s24      9 0.10784615   0.060579650 1.873869e-04 0.265
#> 46     s24     10 0.11428571   0.062893082 1.559275e-05 0.265
#> 47     s24     11 0.10453634   0.070852464 7.144313e-05 0.388
#> 48     s24     12 0.08200000   0.060606061 3.929482e-04 0.510
#> 49     s25      1 0.04253394   0.024442469 3.755059e-02 0.286
#> 50     s25      2 0.08107619   0.046081794 2.189389e-02 0.143
#> 51     s25      3 0.20888889   0.054457143 7.243571e-03 0.143
#> 52     s25      4 0.17304147   0.028059344 3.944737e-02 0.000
#> 53     s25      5 0.10125000   0.032518739 4.384618e-02 0.265
#> 54     s25      6 0.06224747   0.027655110 1.010486e-01 0.388
#> 55     s25      7 0.06842105   0.038847118 2.511973e-03 0.265
#> 56     s25      8 0.09133333   0.045138527 3.211097e-04 0.429
#> 57     s25      9 0.10859524   0.057490304 7.815038e-04 0.265
#> 58     s25     10 0.12047619   0.061641429 1.123478e-05 0.265
#> 59     s25     11 0.10363636   0.060857213 2.028286e-04 0.388
#> 60     s25     12 0.08500000   0.064615385 6.354214e-04 0.510
#> 61     s26      1 0.03000000   0.016216216 1.415092e-01 0.286
#> 62     s26      2 0.06121795   0.031590657 6.597205e-02 0.000
#> 63     s26      3 0.24561463   0.044749941 1.788872e-02 0.000
#> 64     s26      4 0.14691358   0.022686695 1.315212e-01 0.000
#> 65     s26      5 0.12750000   0.037815126 6.726327e-03 0.265
#> 66     s26      6 0.07850000   0.031029222 3.488656e-02 0.265
#> 67     s26      7 0.09276471   0.044572126 4.108105e-04 0.265
#> 68     s26      8 0.10888889   0.051851852 1.639977e-03 0.429
#> 69     s26      9 0.11653846   0.053915392 9.480869e-03 0.265
#> 70     s26     10 0.11068182   0.058503497 1.470606e-04 0.265
#> 71     s26     11 0.08800000   0.056000244 3.845248e-03 0.388
#> 72     s26     12 0.07659420   0.054352544 5.208117e-03 0.510
#> 73     s27      1 0.05820175   0.035754535 7.235176e-03 0.286
#> 74     s27      2 0.07080000   0.037224259 5.103543e-02 0.000
#> 75     s27      3 0.32218661   0.069793023 3.333564e-03 0.000
#> 76     s27      4 0.22038194   0.025648900 4.608393e-02 0.000
#> 77     s27      5 0.09700000   0.025641026 1.312726e-02 0.265
#> 78     s27      6 0.08025000   0.029109006 6.330431e-02 0.265
#> 79     s27      7 0.09861111   0.063198784 4.136352e-05 0.265
#> 80     s27      8 0.12445833   0.060735736 2.574579e-03 0.429
#> 81     s27      9 0.11500000   0.056108597 1.751163e-05 0.265
#> 82     s27     10 0.12615385   0.074422583 1.403962e-05 0.265
#> 83     s27     11 0.10424242   0.072231140 1.544500e-05 0.388
#> 84     s27     12 0.08791667   0.070532915 5.138852e-04 0.510
#> 85     s28      1 0.03157895   0.019270833 9.052551e-02 0.286
#> 86     s28      2 0.07618820   0.041502114 2.080455e-02 0.000
#> 87     s28      3 0.36193667   0.056723751 1.089705e-02 0.000
#> 88     s28      4 0.10500000   0.011532738 4.145985e-01 0.000
#> 89     s28      5 0.10850000   0.033906250 2.856768e-02 0.265
#> 90     s28      6 0.09067873   0.037591036 2.554345e-02 0.265
#> 91     s28      7 0.09235714   0.052916667 4.402259e-05 0.388
#> 92     s28      8 0.12966667   0.058024691 5.128564e-03 0.429
#> 93     s28      9 0.11275362   0.044800664 3.120179e-04 0.265
#> 94     s28     10 0.12153846   0.055555556 3.993113e-03 0.510
#> 95     s28     11 0.08846154   0.057142857 4.074511e-03 0.388
#> 96     s28     12 0.08366667   0.061231244 1.018698e-02 0.510
#> 97     s29      1 0.05120690   0.029428105 2.642330e-02 0.286
#> 98     s29      2 0.07160819   0.035634921 8.572623e-03 0.000
#> 99     s29      3 0.26152899   0.033585203 5.363684e-02 0.000
#> 100    s29      4 0.12291667   0.013603409 2.117869e-01 0.000
#> 101    s29      5 0.11394231   0.034075957 4.466251e-02 0.265
#> 102    s29      6 0.07797980   0.035250115 2.805637e-02 0.265
#> 103    s29      7 0.10285714   0.059523810 2.533027e-04 0.265
#> 104    s29      8 0.11366667   0.050435855 8.884414e-03 0.429
#> 105    s29      9 0.15761905   0.067187500 8.758759e-05 0.265
#> 106    s29     10 0.13625000   0.070798425 3.567684e-05 0.265
#> 107    s29     11 0.10417391   0.069006919 6.443038e-05 0.388
#> 108    s29     12 0.08615385   0.065846154 2.106459e-03 0.510
#> 109    s30      1 0.07600000   0.048951049 5.340930e-04 0.286
#> 110    s30      2 0.08908120   0.039410244 3.643308e-03 0.000
#> 111    s30      3 0.41671569   0.061001413 9.925441e-03 0.000
#> 112    s30      4 0.11386111   0.012277565 4.362790e-01 0.000
#> 113    s30      5 0.11093333   0.035869565 6.879173e-02 0.265
#> 114    s30      6 0.12838235   0.056921943 8.392253e-04 0.265
#> 115    s30      7 0.13761905   0.065413534 2.533027e-04 0.265
#> 116    s30      8 0.14916667   0.058152517 1.895016e-03 0.429
#> 117    s30      9 0.16666667   0.082478632 2.111428e-05 0.265
#> 118    s30     10 0.14583333   0.076500000 2.130812e-04 0.265
#> 119    s30     11 0.12556722   0.081734007 6.445445e-05 0.388
#> 120    s30     12 0.07578947   0.050917095 3.336345e-03 0.510
#> 121    s31      1 0.08571429   0.052727273 4.074511e-03 0.429
#> 122    s31      2 0.07870370   0.036647248 6.063657e-02 0.143
#> 123    s31      3 0.35833333   0.042565187 1.007196e-01 0.286
#> 124    s31      4 0.14053333   0.014184634 4.198989e-01 0.286
#> 125    s31      5 0.16636364   0.044871795 3.033737e-02 0.388
#> 126    s31      6 0.13833333   0.047021944 1.649488e-02 0.388
#> 127    s31      7 0.15386667   0.062334061 1.514804e-03 0.592
#> 128    s31      8 0.19300000   0.054761905 2.304655e-02 0.429
#> 129    s31      9 0.24571429   0.086194478 3.589921e-04 0.510
#> 130    s31     10 0.14761905   0.059523810 2.138459e-03 0.388
#> 131    s31     11 0.14344828   0.069230769 6.387538e-03 0.388
#> 132    s31     12 0.09965517   0.060595694 7.608151e-03 0.633
#> 133    s32      1 0.08466667   0.043426295 1.400912e-02 0.286
#> 134    s32      2 0.11314103   0.041508857 3.904143e-02 0.143
#> 135    s32      3 0.30393939   0.038591740 1.083414e-01 0.286
#> 136    s32      4 0.15714286   0.013570195 4.118243e-01 0.286
#> 137    s32      5 0.14600000   0.041880342 6.409905e-02 0.388
#> 138    s32      6 0.15037037   0.052616279 1.061581e-03 0.388
#> 139    s32      7 0.17291667   0.065955683 6.783002e-04 0.388
#> 140    s32      8 0.17345455   0.050765625 1.612707e-02 0.429
#> 141    s32      9 0.26583333   0.089711663 2.365656e-05 0.510
#> 142    s32     10 0.17486928   0.075420875 4.497629e-05 0.388
#> 143    s32     11 0.17954545   0.089026915 2.737201e-04 0.388
#> 144    s32     12 0.11402299   0.056140351 5.000835e-03 0.633
#> 145    s33      1 0.13267559   0.064983234 8.706155e-03 0.714
#> 146    s33      2 0.12500000   0.047290640 1.391442e-01 0.286
#> 147    s33      3 0.41261905   0.061584932 7.299943e-02 0.286
#> 148    s33      4 0.24555556   0.026432292 1.866605e-01 0.571
#> 149    s33      5 0.17218750   0.041137124 1.242185e-02 0.510
#> 150    s33      6 0.12923077   0.035294118 4.776124e-02 0.633
#> 151    s33      7 0.15551267   0.054914309 7.392249e-02 0.694
#> 152    s33      8 0.29260057   0.071267073 4.674494e-02 0.714
#> 153    s33      9 0.28540000   0.090363812 8.706155e-03 0.633
#> 154    s33     10 0.19607143   0.059547052 1.951748e-02 0.633
#> 155    s33     11 0.21300000   0.087718232 7.487887e-03 0.633
#> 156    s33     12 0.09155172   0.025580770 1.147567e-01 0.755
#> 157    s34      1 0.12702381   0.056897759 3.433985e-02 0.714
#> 158    s34      2 0.13301149   0.047835498 5.614106e-02 0.286
#> 159    s34      3 0.35770022   0.044016892 2.723427e-01 0.286
#> 160    s34      4 0.26190179   0.022779532 1.941267e-01 0.714
#> 161    s34      5 0.21895833   0.054054054 1.571435e-02 0.510
#> 162    s34      6 0.12000000   0.031337162 1.075428e-01 0.633
#> 163    s34      7 0.17200000   0.055952381 1.293706e-02 0.633
#> 164    s34      8 0.24241379   0.052486188 6.904432e-02 0.714
#> 165    s34      9 0.20392857   0.057587310 3.399435e-03 0.633
#> 166    s34     10 0.16708333   0.045949360 9.455362e-03 0.633
#> 167    s34     11 0.22626263   0.094841270 6.143820e-04 0.633
#> 168    s34     12 0.18537500   0.089791131 2.398753e-02 0.796
#> 169    s35      1 0.14233516   0.054744294 6.410358e-02 0.878
#> 170    s35      2 0.07750000   0.024286275 4.297953e-01 0.286
#> 171    s35      3 0.21884259   0.028963648 4.419310e-01 0.429
#> 172    s35      4 0.20022222   0.018637926 3.811873e-01 0.714
#> 173    s35      5 0.12500000   0.033395176 1.658567e-01 0.673
#> 174    s35      6 0.09066667   0.027073733 8.676817e-02 0.816
#> 175    s35      7 0.10333333   0.033898990 6.410358e-02 0.694
#> 176    s35      8 0.16846154   0.053061224 8.676817e-02 0.714
#> 177    s35      9 0.35769231   0.075917160 3.114308e-03 0.633
#> 178    s35     10 0.29000000   0.086761406 8.123423e-03 0.694
#> 179    s35     11 0.23070707   0.095559846 3.191966e-03 0.633
#> 180    s35     12 0.13103448   0.062380952 1.560000e-01 0.796
#> 181    s36      1 0.15627160   0.061435374 1.027948e-02 0.714
#> 182    s36      2 0.11333333   0.046975547 1.255702e-01 0.286
#> 183    s36      3 0.35244444   0.040993102 2.157853e-01 0.286
#> 184    s36      4 0.34583333   0.036185221 1.941267e-01 0.714
#> 185    s36      5 0.10102823   0.035899364 2.016123e-01 0.673
#> 186    s36      6 0.10571429   0.030886624 9.123903e-02 0.755
#> 187    s36      7 0.09100000   0.028716892 1.763604e-01 0.694
#> 188    s36      8 0.19594203   0.052359457 1.081614e-01 0.714
#> 189    s36      9 0.27897727   0.069193483 1.649011e-03 0.633
#> 190    s36     10 0.28311741   0.075931996 4.479054e-03 0.694
#> 191    s36     11 0.26103896   0.099035285 1.276679e-04 0.633
#> 192    s36     12 0.22566667   0.082398303 1.734336e-02 0.796
seasonTrend(x, plot = TRUE, ncol = 4)
#> Warning: Removed 58 rows containing missing values (position_stack).